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This morning, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) released the annual International Energy Outlook (IEO2019) which provides a forecast re energy through 2050. With projecting that energy demand growth will outpace renewable energy growth (with increased natural gas, oil, and coal usage) through 2050, EIA is forecasting that carbon emissions from energy usage will grow by […]

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Axios is a Washington creation in the media culture. Well-funded and (extremely) well-promoted, it seems targeted at influencing influencers. Core to the overall approach seems to be a ‘#bothsiderism” approach, to present both sides of a political issue typically without stating how “one side” is simply outside the realm of truthfulness and that the “political” […]

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The latest Energy Information Administration (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook has been released and one’s hope, on first glance, is that this forecast is just as off as so much of energy forecasting has been because, if this is accurate, the simplest summary of this might be: The United States and humanity is EFFed when it […]

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While many reasons exist for this, a simple reality: every single major forecasting institution (both public and private) has consistently, since roughly the turn of the century, under forecast future progress in solar and wind energy. (See after fold for a sampling of the literature on this.) Forecasts have consistently (and often quite significantly) projected […]

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Yesterday, the Department of Energy’s released the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) “Annual Energy Outlook 2015“. Before even reading the summary, there are two things that we know: EIA is WRONG! Forecasting is extremely difficult and the energy sector is no exception to the rule. Note, to say “EIA is WRONG!” is something that can be written […]

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The White House release a report yesterday heralding the All of the Above energy policy.  Entitled “The All-Of-The-Above Energy Strategy as a Path to Sustainable Economic Growth,” the document seeks to bask in expanded US oil and natural gas production while asserting that policies for energy efficiency and renewable energy are setting the stage for […]

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Weirdly, while spending many pages detailing how the Energy Information Agency (EIA) failed to predict accurately fossil fuel trends, the report’s authors failed to highlight that the real-world performance of renewable energy (notably wind and solar) has greatly outperformed baseline forecasts. With the President’s call for more solar energy, highlighting that renewables have been doing so well (in price reductions and speed of market penetration) would seem something strongly support of Administration objectives rather than for something to be ignored in a 42-page White House report.

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The Waxman-Markety American Clean Energy and Security (ACES) targets for renewable energy and climate emissions reductions are, to put it simply, far from what they should be. And, let’s put aside “should be”, they are far weaker than they could be. Let’s stick with 2020 targets for a moment. The bill, as passed by the […]

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The Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) is the repository for the reference case analysis for US energy usage and projections.  Sometimes constrained politically and bureaucratically, their analyses have often seem highly fossil-fuel friendly and undervaluing of renewable energy and energy efficiency. Considering that record, last week’s announcement of the Obama Administration nominee to […]

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The Secretary of Energy, Steven Chu, made comments re coal and its future in the American electrical system that, to be kind, make those concerned about effective paths forward on dealing with climate change uncomfortable. In particular, the following words quite frankly I doubt if the United States will turn its back on coal. We […]

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