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@BarackObama tweets on climate: Yeah and sigh …

October 11th, 2012 · 3 Comments

The Obama-Biden reelection campaign has sent out a tweet on climate change issues:

This quote from the President’s DNC speech was the second most applauded line in the speech and, when given, raised hopes that the campaign would end the climate silence.  Sadly, “climate change” has not (yet…) emerged as a major element of the Presidential campaign (and climate was absent from the first debate) even though it is an arena of incredibly stark difference between the candidates (and their parties) and the polling research is showing — quite clearly  and strongly — that this is a winning issue for the Obama-Biden team to embrace. In short, discussing climate change issues forcefully

  • Will motivate ‘the base’ to go out and vote.
  • Speaks strongly to and sways ‘independents’ who resemble Democratic voters, much more than Republicans, when it comes to climate-change issues.
  • Is irrelevant for the climate-deniers, who are already impassioned to vote for fossil-foolish politicians.

The Obama-Biden tweet, at this moment, has been retweeted over 1500 times and has over 300 favorites. Unclear how this matches up to other campaign tweets, but I do suspect that this is on the higher end for the campaign. A question: Is it possible that the campaign will use this as (yet another) signal of the political power of speaking on climate issues?

Now, while cheering (the “yeah” in the post’s title) on the campaign to talk about climate issues, let us be clear:  this was a dangerous line for framing reasons and thus is it really the message that should be retweeted (the “sigh” in the title).  Use of “hoax”, in the speech, was President Obama reacting to Mitt Romney’s joking anti-science dismissal of climate change in his RNC speech (and, well, lots of places elsewhere before and since). Take a look at the “Debunking Handbook”, which makes clear that starting off with the ‘myth’ to be ‘debunked’ sadly reinforces the false messaging.  And, taking a look at this specific situation, there is real danger in using powerful words like “hoax”.  As Joe Romm put it shortly after the speech,

The social science literature is quite clear that repeating a myth is not the best way to debunk it. Indeed, there is evidence that it can actually end up promoting that myth.

It’s why linguist George Lakoff titled his best-selling book, Don’t think of an elephant. If I say that to you, you will think of an elephantNegatives carry very little rhetorical weight. In this case, the word “hoax” is very strong and memorable and is not one that should be repeated by those who understand the realities of climate science.

Thus, a conundrum:  retweet to encourage the campaign to discuss climate issues or not to retweet to avoid reinforcing the negative?

My choice was to retweet but also to respond/engage to encourage better speechwriting along with continued discussion of climate issues.

Among my responses:

Yeah: Ending #climatesilence. Bad: Emphasizing false talking point (“hoax”) reinforces it. …@BarackObama @skepticscience

@BarackObama Excellent. Ending#climatesilence is not just right, but winning politics. …#cdl @climatebrad @Agent350

To repeat for emphasis:

Ending climate silence is not just right, but winning politics.

Yesterday, Climate Desk held a forum in Washington, DC, entitled: Is Climate Change the Sleeper Political Issue of 2012? The polling and focus group work, done by multiple institutions, shows quite clearly that — nationally — climate change is a winning political issue.  The moderator, Chris Mooney, did a quite directed question challenging whether the ‘political pros’, who are focus on very micro-targeting in swing states, might know details that aren’t explored in the national polls. In a quite interesting discussion that followed, the three panelists highlighted — with different angles and details — that key swing states are actually more open for engagement on climate issues.

  • New Mexico and Colarado have had massive impact from drought and wildfires.
  • Florida is ‘on the front line’ for climate impacts, from extreme weather damage to rising seas.
  • Virginia — along with a good part of the East Coast — was in the bulls-eye for the Derecho earlier this year.

Yesterday’s panel, sadly not (yet?) available to watch on the Climate Desk site, had many useful points about how to do successful engagement on and framing of climate change to make it a winning political issue.  We can only hope that the Obama-Biden campaign team (along with climate reality politicians at all levels) pay attention to and act on these lessons.

Note that there is a GOP denier posted as the first comment to the Obama tweet. Thus, a question about twitter:  When looking at the Obama tweet, there are likely 100s of responses (jeez, I’ve done 4 or 5) with the >1000 retweets and >300 “Favorites”.  How come two of the five responses that show up when pulling the tweet are from a global warming denier?  How can we have other responses show?  (Were these .@BarackObama rather than @BarackObama responses?)  How do we push up the positive responses?  Thanks in advance for Twitter tutorial.

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3 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Saturday Rainfall Bust (99.95% of Minnesota in moderate drought or worse) || Conservation Minnesota // Oct 12, 2012 at 7:46 am

    […] climate change and politics (apparently) don’t mix, at least not this election cycle, from “…Sadly, “climate change” has not (yet…) emerged as a major element of the […]

  • 2 Johnny Gunn // Oct 15, 2012 at 7:47 pm

    No, climate change is not a hoax; however, the claims of such alternatives advocatges as Jerome a Paris and others (who will go ummentioned) – that there is an insignificant cost to energy transitioning is disingenuous.

    Yes, there are indirect costs that are problematic in measuring. But the producer to customer cost is so dramatically different that it has produced backlash – even in relatively green Germany.

    My argument has never been against renewables – it has been against the pie-in-the sky numbers which will only produce negative backlash – – and have already.

  • 3 OFA asked for feedback … In three words: End Climate Silence! // Oct 22, 2012 at 7:52 am

    […] a winning political issue according to the political polling analysis. (see, for example, here, here, and …).  The campaign should END THE CLIMATE SILENCE! ASAP!  Such as by the President in […]